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Maidan demonstration, Kyiv 2014 |
Exactly one year ago today Russian forces invaded Ukraine. Of course I sprang into 'action', and wrote a blog post, entitled The Darkest Day. There didn't seem much else to be done, and to be honest, at the time the outcome seemed inevitable, that outcome being the rapid conquest and subjugation of Ukraine, and its elimination as an independent nation. Quite surprisingly, that blog post became my 'most read' ever ( with the exception of one other post that had been previously 'nobbled' by a bot attack ). I had expressed myself pretty strongly, and I wondered if I would attract hostile reactions, even attacks, on the blog - I'm glad to say that didn't happen, and there were many supportive comments. I've just been re-reading the post, and I stand by everything I said.
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Pro-democracy protestor Yevhen Shulga, 2014 |
Of course there was a very unexpected outcome: the Russian invasion failed. Ukraine's defence forces fought bravely and successfully, and gave Putin a massive shock; Western nations have rallied in Ukraine's support and provided arms and equipment to Ukraine. Despite many thousands of casualties both military and civilian, despite thousands of war crimes inflicted by the Russia's deliberate targeting of the civilians they claim to be 'liberating', Ukraine fights on, has had victories, and has regained territory. The cost has been terrible, but I entirely understand Ukraine's willingness to pay that cost and keep fighting, and I think we in the West need to support our governments in supporting Ukraine. Freedom is at stake; Putin now says he is fighting a war against the West, so perhaps we have little choice.
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Battle damage to Ukrainian homes, 2022 |
As before, I am not going to get into nerdy discussions of the fighting and whether they should have done X, Y or Z - there are too many armchair generals already, I'm sure. But there is of course much worthwhile analysis available - I would highlight the Royal United Services Institute, which for example has a summary today entitled The War In Ukraine One Year On . I've also been recently recommended a 'Substack' blog , Comment is Freed, a joint effort by political commentatior Sam Freedman and his father, the military historian Lawrence Freedman, whose recent piece The Storm Before The Calm makes interesting reading. Regarding the effect on those of us not directly involved in the fighting, political journalist Andrew Marr recently wrote a chilling ( but realistic, I'm afraid ) piece which should give us all plenty to consider : The war in Ukraine will go on for years – and so will its consequences for Britain. Also Steve Rosenberg, the BBC's man in Moscow has been consistently interesting ( and sobering for those who might think the Russian population will not support Putin ), his latest piece about How Putin's fate is tied to Russia's war raises some scary possibilities ( civil war in a nuclear-armed power? ).
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burial of victims of Russian occupation, Bucha 2022 |
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Yevhen Shulga, now Ukrainian soldier, 2022 |
I'll get back to hobby stuff next time; meanwhile I think it's worth a pause to reflect. Keep well, everyone.